MarketPulse - The Beat of the Global Markets

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Fed and ECB: December rate hikes look increasingly likely
Persistent inflation is strengthening the case for December rate hikes by both the Fed and the ECB. US core price pressures remain stubborn, while European policymakers increasingly favour further tightening. For EUR/USD, the key will be which central bank signals a greater overall need to raise rates.
by Łukasz Zembik
Chart alert: Dow Jones bullish catch-up over Nasdaq 100 as AI rotation accelerates
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has shifted from September's laggard to October's outperformer, gaining 2.46% through 15 October versus the Nasdaq 100's 1.86% decline. Rotation away from AI-linked semiconductor stocks towards healthcare and consumer sectors is driving the Dow's relative strength. Technically, US Wall Street 30 has broken above a medium-term descending channel, with 51,950 as pivotal support and a clearance above 52,390 potentially targeting 52,687 and 53,100.
by Kelvin Wong
US Dollar strengthens as Fed rate hike fears grow
The US dollar remains resilient despite weakening consumer sentiment and growing concerns about the US economic outlook. Rising inflation expectations, elevated Treasury yields, and expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continue to support the USD. Explore the latest economic data, changing Fed policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and what these developments could mean for the USD in the coming weeks.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
France: Debt risks are mounting
French bond spreads have narrowed, but high debt and resistance to reform continue to undermine confidence. Pressure on Italian bonds signals contagion risks. Stronger banks and ECB intervention tools reduce the likelihood of a repeat sovereign debt crisis, although lasting stability requires a credible French fiscal plan.
by Łukasz Zembik

Top cryptocurrency news and analysis

The US labour market is losing momentum – as is the USD
The June U.S. jobs report points to a clear slowdown in the labor market, with weaker nonfarm payrolls growth, lower labor force participation, and easing wage pressure. While layoffs remain limited, the data reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy further and have weighed on the U.S. dollar.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
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Top commodities news and analysis

Gold awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
Gold is undergoing a shallow correction ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. A neutral stance on easing financial conditions could support another test of USD 4,775 and USD 4,890 per ounce. A hawkish message, however, could revive expectations of a September rate hike, strengthen the dollar and trigger a deeper pullback.
by Łukasz Zembik
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Central banks news

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