MarketPulse - The Beat of the Global Markets

US Dollar strengthens as Fed rate hike fears grow
The US dollar remains resilient despite weakening consumer sentiment and growing concerns about the US economic outlook. Rising inflation expectations, elevated Treasury yields, and expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes continue to support the USD. Explore the latest economic data, changing Fed policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and what these developments could mean for the USD in the coming weeks.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
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France: Debt risks are mounting
French bond spreads have narrowed, but high debt and resistance to reform continue to undermine confidence. Pressure on Italian bonds signals contagion risks. Stronger banks and ECB intervention tools reduce the likelihood of a repeat sovereign debt crisis, although lasting stability requires a credible French fiscal plan.
by Łukasz Zembik
JPMorgan Q3 earnings preview: Can strong banking momentum continue?
JPMorgan Chase heads into Q3 2026 earnings with a high bar after an exceptional Q2, as investors assess whether strong net interest income, Global Markets revenue and investment banking momentum can continue. Credit quality and expenses are key risks. Technically, JPM is attempting a bullish reversal above its 200-day MA, with 323.00/315.70 as pivotal support and a break above 351.55 potentially opening a retest of the 366.50 record high.
by Kelvin Wong
US: Softer jobs data strengthen the case for a Fed pause
US payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, while revisions cut July and August employment by a combined 60,000. Unemployment increased to 4.2% and annual wage growth slowed to 3.0%. The report strengthens the case for an October Fed pause, potentially weighing on the dollar and Treasury yields while supporting gold.
by Łukasz Zembik
Geopolitics, inflation and central banks set the direction for markets
Middle East tensions and energy prices remain central to the market outlook. The US economy is supported by AI investment, while China faces weak domestic demand. Inflation may keep the Fed and ECB cautious. Bond yields could ease temporarily if energy prices fall, while longer-term fiscal pressures remain. Political risks may gradually weigh on the dollar.
by Łukasz Zembik

Top cryptocurrency news and analysis

The US labour market is losing momentum – as is the USD
The June U.S. jobs report points to a clear slowdown in the labor market, with weaker nonfarm payrolls growth, lower labor force participation, and easing wage pressure. While layoffs remain limited, the data reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy further and have weighed on the U.S. dollar.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
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Top commodities news and analysis

Gold awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
Gold is undergoing a shallow correction ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. A neutral stance on easing financial conditions could support another test of USD 4,775 and USD 4,890 per ounce. A hawkish message, however, could revive expectations of a September rate hike, strengthen the dollar and trigger a deeper pullback.
by Łukasz Zembik
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Central banks news

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