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MarketPulse - The Beat of the Global Markets

US: Softer jobs data strengthen the case for a Fed pause
US payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, while revisions cut July and August employment by a combined 60,000. Unemployment increased to 4.2% and annual wage growth slowed to 3.0%. The report strengthens the case for an October Fed pause, potentially weighing on the dollar and Treasury yields while supporting gold.
02-10-2026 16:00 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Geopolitics, inflation and central banks set the direction for markets
Middle East tensions and energy prices remain central to the market outlook. The US economy is supported by AI investment, while China faces weak domestic demand. Inflation may keep the Fed and ECB cautious. Bond yields could ease temporarily if energy prices fall, while longer-term fiscal pressures remain. Political risks may gradually weigh on the dollar.
25-09-2026 15:20 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
Trump-Xi summit: five issues to watch and the trading playbook
The 24 September Trump–Xi meeting could set the next direction for global risk sentiment as markets await an extension of the US–China trade truce, targeted tariff cuts and agricultural purchases. This trading playbook highlights five assets most exposed to the outcome: USD/CNH, Hang Seng Tech, AUD/USD, the Nasdaq 100, and Singapore’s STI, and explains how traders can position for a deal, disappointment, or a sell-the-fact reversal.
22-09-2026 10:18 GMT by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: USD/JPY tests 156.13/50 resistance as hawkish Fed raises the bar for BoJ
USD/JPY has surged towards the key 156.13/50 resistance zone after a hawkish Fed rate hike reinforced the US dollar's yield advantage. Attention now turns to Japan CPI and the BoJ, where an expected hike to 1.25% may not be enough to strengthen the yen unless Governor Ueda signals further tightening. Technically, bearish RSI divergence raises reversal risk, with 155.45 acting as the key downside trigger.
17-09-2026 09:32 GMT by Kelvin Wong
United Kingdom: The Bank of England faces a difficult choice
UK inflation accelerated to 2.9% in August, while core and services inflation remained stable. The data support keeping interest rates unchanged tomorrow but do not eliminate the risk of future tightening. With wage growth slowing and the labour market weakening, the four rate hikes currently priced in by markets still appear too aggressive.
16-09-2026 13:40 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Top cryptocurrency news and analysis

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The US labour market is losing momentum – as is the USD
The June U.S. jobs report points to a clear slowdown in the labor market, with weaker nonfarm payrolls growth, lower labor force participation, and easing wage pressure. While layoffs remain limited, the data reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy further and have weighed on the U.S. dollar.
02-07-2026 16:19 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński
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Top commodities news and analysis

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Gold awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
Gold is undergoing a shallow correction ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. A neutral stance on easing financial conditions could support another test of USD 4,775 and USD 4,890 per ounce. A hawkish message, however, could revive expectations of a September rate hike, strengthen the dollar and trigger a deeper pullback.
27-08-2026 11:05 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Central banks news

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