Oil’s Rally Falters After Kuwait Comments

Oil is under pressure in  Asia after comments from Kuwait over the weekend.

Oil continued its sideways consolidation on Friday, as both Brent and WTI rode the coattails of a general commodities rally to finish at 63.57 and 57.25 respectively. The picture has not been so bright this morning, as Kuwait’s oil minister over the weekend said that OPEC and Non-OPEC would study exit strategies before the joint meeting in June.

Although wholly rational and logical in itself (you would sensibly plan these things far in advance of the end of 2018 expiry), it was enough to send traders scurrying from long positions in early Asia. Brent has fallen 0.46% or 30 cents to 63.50 with WTI falling 0.40% or 25 cents to 57.00.

The UAE energy minister has since bought some clarity and voice of reason to the previous comments with,

“UAE ENERGY MINISTER SAYS OPEC, NON-OPEC PLAN TO ANNOUNCE AN EXIT STRATEGY FROM SUPPLY CUTS IN JUNE, DOES NOT MEAN WE WILL EXIT IN JUNE” Source: Reuters

Brent has resistance at the multiple daily tops at 64.00 followed by 64.45 and 64.85. Support is at 62.20 and then the critical 61.25 numerous daily lows.

Brent Crude

WTI spot has resistance at 58.00 and then 58.20, its trendline resistance ahead of the substantive 58.85 level, a daily triple top. Support is at 56.40 followed by 55.675.

WTI Daily

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Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, from 2016 to August 2022
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley was OANDA’s Senior Market Analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV and Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications such as The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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