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Gold – Lost its Shine?

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How bearish is the recent breakout?

An interesting move in gold on Tuesday as it broke below $1,280 in what could be a very bearish development for the yellow metal.

This has long been a key level of support for gold and some weakness in the dollar this morning isn’t reviving it. That has been the case for some time that a rising dollar has an outsized impact on gold prices compared to when it declines, a key insight into sentiment towards it.

Gold Daily Chart

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With price having finally broken below $1,280, a more significant decline could be on the cards. As yet, we haven’t moved back above $1280 – in fact, it rebounded off this level early in European hours – which suggests this is no false breakout.

Gold 4-Hour Chart

That could bring $1,260 into focus as the next notable support, with $1,250 and $1,240 of interest below that. How large a decline we see isn’t yet clear, which makes the momentum indicators interesting as we approach notable support zones.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
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