Oil dropped to the lowest level in more than 5 1/2 years after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Societe Generale SA reduced their price forecasts.
West Texas Intermediate decreased 4.7 percent to $46.07 a barrel, and Brent 5.3 percent to $47.43. Crude has to “stay lower for longer” if investment in shale is to be curtailed to re-balance the global market, according to Goldman analysts. Societe Generale said falling prices may force the shutdown of expensive crude operations in Canada and the U.S.
“In a violent move like this it’s impossible to pick the magic number that’s the bottom,” Katherine Spector, a commodities strategist at CIBC World Markets Inc. in New York, said by phone. “I’m not going to pick a bottom. Prices will have to go to a level that inflicts maximum pain before the bottom is found.”
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