The Currency Traders Don’t Care About Greece

Currency traders have grown tired of Greece’s Sisyphus routine.

For those who are unfamiliar with Greek mythology, Sisyphus was a king who was condemned to repeatedly push a boulder up a hill, only to have it roll back to the bottom every time he neared the top. He was condemned to do this over and over again, for eternity.

The analogy to the negotiations between Greece and its creditors is easy to spot.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that International Monetary Fund officials, frustrated by a lack of progress, abruptly ended negotiations with their Greek counterparts in Brussels. How did the euro react?

It didn’t.

The shared currency barely reacted when the news broke at 10:30 a.m. Eastern.

Greece has had little impact on the euro-dollar trade in recent months. Instead, strategists say, European bond yields have been the guiding force behind the euro-dollar trade.

Currency pairs are heavily influenced by fluctuations in sovereign bond yields, and over the pastfew months, the German bund appears to be driving trade in both Treasurys, and by extension, the euro-dollar pair.

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