Gold – Remains Steady Below $1190

Gold – Tuesday 16 June 2015

In the last couple of weeks gold has been content to trade around the key $1180 level and it presently sits around $1185 after recently surging higher to $1190.  During last week it rallied well to move from a two month low near $1160 back up to above $1190 again before easing back to the $1180 level. The key $1180 level has consistently provided solid support and has held it up now for a couple of months, with the recent exception. A few weeks ago gold fell sharply back through the key $1200 level and spent the remainder of that week consolidating in a narrow range around $1190.

The $1200 level has been a significant level throughout most of this year and remains a key level presently offering reasonable resistance to higher prices, whilst lower the $1180 level continues to be significant. Throughout the last month or so the $1180 level has provided some support and has been called upon recently. Earlier in May it was able to make a run through the $1200 level to reach a three month high above $1230 however gold was quickly sold off and returned back to the $1200 level where it enjoyed some support for several days.

For around two months through April gold traded in a range between $1180 and around $1220 and had very few excursions outside these limits. Gold is currently pinned between resistance at $1200 and support at $1180 and it is surprising to see it trade in such a narrow range for several days. It seems it is waiting patiently for external factors to determine which level will be severely tested next.

(Daily chart / 4 hourly chart below)

Gold June 16 at 00:40 GMT   1186.1   H: 1190.8   L: 1172.8

Gold Technical

During the early hours of the Asian trading session on Tuesday, Gold is easing back to $1185 after recently surging higher to $1190.  Current range: trading right around $1185.

Further levels in both directions:

• Below: 1180 and 1150.

• Above: 1200 and 1240.

OANDA’s Open Position Ratios

(Shows the ratio of long vs. short positions held for Gold among all OANDA clients. The left percentage (blue) shows long positions; the right percentage (orange) shows short positions.)

The long position ratio for Gold has moved back above 70% again as Gold has consolidated around $1180. The trader sentiment is strongly in favour of long positions.

Economic Releases

• 23:50 (Mon) JP Customs Cleared Trade (May)
• 01:30 AU New motor vehicle sales (May)
• 01:30 AU RBA June minutes released
• 08:30 UK CPI (May)
• 08:30 UK Input & Output Prices (May)
• 08:30 UK ONS House Prices (Apr)
• 09:00 EU ZEW (Economic Sentiment) (Jun)
• 12:30 US Building Permits (May)
• 12:30 US Housing Starts (May)
• US Federal Reserve FOMC meeting (to 17th)

* All release times are GMT

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