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Oil Lower Due to China Demand Fears and Supply Glut

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Oil fell below $49 a barrel on Monday after its biggest two-day rally in six years last week, pressured by a supply glut and renewed concern about a hard landing for China’s economy.

International benchmark Brent crude climbed 10 percent last week but was still heading for its fourth straight monthly decline and has risen in only two of the past 14 months.

At 1340 GMT, Brent LCOc1 was down $1.28 at $48.77 a barrel and U.S. crude CLc1, which had rallied 12 percent last week, dropped $1.00 to $44.22.

“Volatility was high last week, so now we’re seeing some retracement – $50 is proving to be a resistance level,” said Olivier Jakob, analyst at Petromatrix, referring to Brent. “It is still a market which is very well supplied.”

Volume is expected to be lower than normal on Monday because of a British public holiday.

via Reuters

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency
trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza

@alfonso_forex

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