WTI Crude – Correction Seen as Divergence Forms

Earlier this week I highlighted $48.80-49.20 as a key resistance level for WTI (WTI Crude – New Trading Range Being Established?) with it having been so the last two times it traded at this level.

Despite it finding resistance again on Tuesday and Wednesday, it finally broke above here yesterday and has continued to push on today.

It now appears to have run into resistance again around the next resistance area between $50.25 and $51, which has recently been an interesting area of support and resistance.

As you can see on the hourly chart below, the most recent rallies have come on declining momentum, creating a divergence between price and the stochastic and MACD. This suggests we may see a correction following what has been quite a strong rally to this point.

As I suggested previously though, given the hurdle that it overcame this week, I do think this will be a temporary resistance level and more gains could come following a shallow correction. It will be interesting to see now whether that prior resistance level now offers support.

This level coincides with the 50 fib – 6 May highs to 24 August lows – that has previously been resistance, as well as the 38.2 fib – 7 October lows to today’s highs. If this doesn’t hold, the 50 and 61.8 fibs will be of interest, $49.05 and $48.65, respectively.

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