The ECB has made no changes to its policy or forward guidance, and comments during the press conference are likely to confirm the bank’s optimistic but cautious stance.
“Prudence, Patience, Persistence Will Continue to Guide Policy”
Draghi’s assessment in press conference:
- Urges “Decisive Steps” to Complete Banking Union, Capital Mkt Union
- Monetary Analysis Confirms Need for Ample Degree of Stimulus
- Recovery in Private-Sector Loan Growth Ongoing
- Underlying Inflation Expected to Rise Gradually Over Medium Term
- Underlying Inflation Expected to Pick up Towards Year-End
- Uncertainty Concerning Inflation Outlook Receding
- Domestic Cost Pressures Strengthening
- Underlying Inflation Remains Generally Muted Despite Recent Pick Up
- Headline Inflation to Hover Around Current Level until Year-End
- Rise in HICP in June Reflects Higher Energy Prices
- Risk of Heightened Fincl Market Volatility Warrants Monitoring
- Risks Related to Global Factors Remain “Prominent”
- Data Point to Growth in Line With Staff Estimates
- Expansion in Global Demand Should Continue, Underpinning Exports
- Econ Growth Expected to Remain Solid, Broad-based
- ECB Stands Ready to Adjust All Instruments if Needed
- Significant Stimulus Still Needed to Underpin Inflation
- Incoming Data Consistent With Solid, Broad-based Growth
- Exchange Rate is No Policy Target
- Euro Has Appreciated Considerably in Last 1.5 Yrs Despite Ample Stimulus
Content is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.