Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-05-10

Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-05-10

Wall Street pressured as tariff deadline nears

US indices extended recent declines, as uncertainty surrounding today’s tariff deadline took hold. Will Trump pull the trigger and raise tariffs from 10% to 25% on Chinese goods? China shares have suffered more than Wall Street under the threat.

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

• The US30 index fell to the lowest level since March 27 as a lack of news on the trade negotiation front exacerbated weakness from the tariff deadline
• The decline stalled at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the December-May rally at 25,486. The index rebounded into the close but still ended in the red
• US consumer prices probably rose at a marginally faster pace of 2.1% y/y in April, from +1.9% in March. Speeches from Fed’s Brainard and Bostic are scheduled, but will no doubt be overshadowed by developments after the tariff deadline.

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

• The Germany30 index fell yesterday, touching the lowest in almost a month as pressure on Wall Street intensified
• The index is still holding above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the rally since December at 11,938
• Germany’s March trade data are due today and are expected to show a narrowing of the trade surplus to EUR18.2 billion from EUR18.7 billion. ECB’s Lautenschlaeger is scheduled to speak.

CN50USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

• The China50 index fell for a fourth straight day yesterday amid fears of a trade war escalation after the tariff deadline tonight
• The index dropped to a two-month low but halted the decline near the convergence area of the 100-day moving average at 12,202 and the 50% retracement level of the 2019 rally at 12,198
• China publishes new loans data for April today with a bumper total of 1.2 trillion yuan ($175 billion) expected. This would bring the year-to-date total to more than 7 trillion yuan ($1.02 trillion), a serious injection of liquidity into the corporate world.

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