Bitcoin – Volatility works both ways

Bitcoin rises fast and falls hard

We’re getting an early reminder today that bitcoins extreme volatility works both ways, with the cryptocurrency tumbling more than 10% and extending it’s losses since peaking yesterday to almost 20%.

The sudden plunge has been widely attributed to another crash, that of Coinbase, the US crypto trading platform. Perhaps this was just a convenient opportunity to lock in some profits or maybe it’s a reminder just how influential one exchange is and therefore how sensitive prices are to these kinds of outages. Maybe both of these are true but it will be interesting to see just how quickly prices recover.

This is a wild market and I wouldn’t be surprised if bitcoin ends the day in the green. Even if it doesn’t, the coming days will likely be no less eventful which usually means large moves. Today strikes me as more of a setback than a game-changer, we only briefly traded below yesterday’s open, that doesn’t suggest to me that traders are completely panicking yet.

That said, one thing that’s always been clear about bitcoin is that it’s very unpredictable, especially during it’s most volatile periods. I expect this will be no different.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.