Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-07-05

Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-07-05

US indices unmoved due to holiday

Index futures were little changed overnight with Wall Street closed for the Independence Day holiday. Today focus shifts to the US nonfarm payroll report for June.

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

• The US30 index edged marginally higher yesterday amid muted activity, closing higher for a sixth consecutive day
• The 100-day moving average at 26,031 and the 55-day average at 26,095 are on a convergence path, with a crossover possible by the end of next week
• The US economy is expected to have added 160,000 jobs in June, higher than May’s disappointing 75,000. Unemployment is seen unchanged at 3.6% while average hourly earnings are forecast to rise 0.3% m/m.

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

• The Germany30 index drifted lower from 11-month highs yesterday, lacking direction from a closed Wall Street
• The index is still managing to hold its advance above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the May-December drop last year at 12,581. The 55-day moving average is at 12,189
• Germany’s factory orders are expected to decline 0.1% m/m in May, the latest survey of economists suggests. ECB’s De Guindos is scheduled to speak again today.

UK100GBP Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

• The UK100 index is hovering near more than 10-month highs, encouraged by Wall Street at record highs, though with one eye on the Tory party leadership race, with final voting kicking off from tomorrow
• The index is testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the May-December drop last year at 7,613
• A survey published by an employers group, the Institute of Directors, has shown that British businesses have turned more gloomy about the economy amid a deepening political crisis and the uncertain future of Brexit.

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