Equities in Asia give back early gains

Chinese markets drop, but Hong Kong climbs

Equities in Asia, except for China, were higher across the board earlier today, but a combination of factors, notably a soft China session, has seen most of those early gains unwound. Overnight, US earnings and recovery package hopes kept the music playing on Wall Street, which shook of higher US yields and posited another positive finish. The S&P 500 rose 0.74%, the Nasdaq climbed by 0.71%, with the Dow Jones finishing 0.57% higher.

Mainland China markets are hovering in negative territory, despite the PBOC adding liquid via the repo today. That hasn’t stopped the yuan rallying to five-month highs versus the US dollar, or 5½ year highs on a trade-weighted basis, weighing on exporters. But most importantly, China state media said this morning that expectations for a RRR cut in Q4 have fallen. That is not my base case, but it appears to have been enough to take the wind from the sails of local markets. The Shanghai Composite is 0.25% lower, while the CSI 300 is down 0.20%. None of this has affected Hong Kong though, with the Hang Seng leaping 1.45% higher today. The rally has been led by a 7.0% rise in Ali Baba shares after it was announced Jack Ma had been allowed to travel to Europe, raising hopes the tech clampdown was easing.

In Japan, the eruption of Mt Aso has tempered earlier gains, leaving the Nikkei 225 up just 0.15% now. In South Korea, the Kospi has moved back to unchanged. Singapore and Taipei are up just 0.10% now with Kuala Lumpur falling 0.15% while Bangkok is 0.30% higher. Indonesia is closed today. Australian markets, though, continue to hold their early gains with both the ASX 200 and All Ordinaries content to follow New York 0.70% higher today.

European equity markets will take their cue from New York as usual given the lack of Eurozone data today. That should mean a positive start to trading. US earnings will continue to drive sentiment globally ex-China, and as long as they remain upbeat, so should equity markets this week.

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Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, from 2016 to August 2022
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley was OANDA’s Senior Market Analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes.

He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays.

A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV and Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications such as The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others.

He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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