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Bitcoin – Extends losses to more than 20% after spot ETF approvals

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  • Bitcoin falls below $40,000
  • Is the bitcoin halving priced in?
  • 50 Fib the next test

Bitcoin is trading around 2% lower on Tuesday, adding to losses at the start of the week and taking the price below $40,000.

The move takes the decline since peaking shortly after the SEC approved spot bitcoin ETFs to more than 20% in what appears to be another case of the rumor being heavily bought and the fact sold.

That’s not particularly important in the longer term and we’re used to this kind of volatility in the space. What matters now is what’s coming next that could generate excitement around cryptos and deliver further gains. The halving event in a few months could be that but it may take something more and skeptics could argue that’s already been priced in at this stage.

Big Fib levels eyed

The move below $40,000 could be a big technical loss as well as a psychological blow.

Bitcoin Daily

Source – OANDA on Trading View

The move over the last 24 hours also broke the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, drawing attention back to the 50% around $37,000. This is also the lower end of the 55/89-day simple moving average range which could offer additional support.

Below here, the 61.8% Fib could also be a level of interest, as could $35,000 having been so when it last traded here in October and November.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
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