Brent Crude – Oil edging higher again after recent positive developments

  • Oil turns higher after brief pullback
  • EIA reports small draw of 0.7 million
  • 200DMA could provide next test of resistance

Oil prices have been creeping higher throughout the European session after bouncing back a little on Tuesday.

Output curbs from Saudi Arabia and Russia appeared to have got things moving but it may be the better inflation data that we’re seeing that has enabled it to push on after two months of consolidation. We’ve seen some volatility around the inventory data from EIA today after a smaller draw was reported but the price has largely returned to where it was trading pre-release.

Brent holds above prior range highs

Since breaking above the recent range highs late last week, oil prices have been a little choppy although importantly they have held above that prior range and, in the case of Brent crude, seen support around the previous highs.

That could be viewed as a bullish technical signal, although that will naturally depend on a number of other factors including the economic data and what producers are doing. Both have been favorable for prices recently, helping Brent break back above $80 for the first time in almost three months.

BCOUSD Daily

Source – OANDA on Trading View

From a technical perspective, Brent rebounded quite quickly after pulling back from last week’s highs. The rotation occurred slightly ahead of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and the 55/89-day simple moving average band which, if followed by new highs, could be a very bullish signal following a very significant breakout a couple of weeks ago.

The next big test could come around the 200/233-day SMA band around $82.50-$84.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.