Oil
Crude prices are edging higher as another day passes with no action from the Biden administration. The EIA short-term energy outlook forecasted higher gasoline prices until the end of the year and then for WTI crude to fall to USD 78 a barrel in December. The EIA report anticipates oil supplies will exceed demand throughout 2022, which seems a bit aggressive. If the Biden administration was waiting for the EIA to give them a good reason to tap the SPR this week, they did not get one.
WTI crude seems poised to make another run towards last month’s high of USD 85.41.
Gold
Gold prices are barely doing anything after no surprises with the PPI data and despite a plunge with Treasury yields as uncertainty over the Fed grapples markets. Normally yields in freefall would be bullish for gold, but that is not the case today.
A massive makeover the Fed could see Brainard running the show alongside a couple new dovish members. The reaction in yields might be a bit overdone as Brainard and Powell Both have similar views for monetary policy and support new flexible average inflation targeting framework.
If risk aversion is here to stay a while a longer, gold should start to see safe-haven flows. Inter-market analysis has been difficult post the Fed’s dovish taper announcement, but when the dust settles, it should be bullish for gold.
Content is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
Ed Moya
His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news.
Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal.
Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
Latest posts by Ed Moya (see all)
- Market Insights Podcast – Powell struggles to deliver a hawkish hold - 1 November 2023
- Fed React: USD/JPY softer after Fed fails to deliver hawkish hold - 1 November 2023
- EUR/USD: Dollar wavers on slower pace of Treasury Refunding Sales and mixed labor data - 1 November 2023