Oil extends losses, gold under pressure

Markets testing Saudi threats

The pessimism in the markets is filtering through to oil where prices have fallen 2% again on Thursday. I’m not sure Saudi Arabia expected markets to test their nerve so quickly but it seems the suggestion that a reduction next week won’t be considered has removed the production cut risk for now.

It will be interesting to see how much traders decide to test the alliance, something that may invite more verbal intervention and perhaps even a change of heart ahead of the meeting. For now, Brent and WTI are edging ever closer to their August lows.

Gold may be eyeing July lows

After breaking below $1,730 support earlier in the week, gold is now pushing below $1,700 and could have the July lows around $1,680 in its sights. The yellow metal did not take Jerome Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole very well and has been on the decline since. It’s off around 3.5% from the highs of last Friday and a break of $1,700 could see it come under further pressure. The key test is $1,680 though and a break of this could be a very bearish development.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.