El Erian: Expect a Fed rate hike by September

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, has told CNBC that investors should prepare for a U.S. rate hike this summer, but added that the Federal Reserve will cushion the blow with “very aggressive forward guidance policy”.

When the Fed eventually does start lifting rates from their current record lows, they will stop “well below” historical averages of 4 percent, the former co-CEO Pimco told CNBC at the Global Financial Markets Forum in Abu Dhabi.

“My own impression is that we will get a rate hike this summer, by September, not in September,” he said.

This will be accompanied by “very aggressive forward policy guidance, which tells us it’s a long journey, so markets don’t go to the terminal late. We want to focus on a very gradual journey,” he said.

CNBC

Content is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.