Osborne to Set out New Spending Purge, Bets on Voter Support

Chancellor George Osborne will renew his push to fix the country’s public finances on Wednesday, taking a gamble that voters can accept four more years of deep spending cuts.

Osborne, a contender to succeed David Cameron as prime minister, is expected to tell parliament he is still aiming for a budget surplus by the end of the decade, which could allow him to deliver income tax cuts promised before May’s election.

But the size of the projected surplus is likely to be revised down after one of his most controversial savings ideas

big cuts to tax credits for low-earning households — was blocked in a rare rebellion by Britain’s upper house last month.

Osborne has largely stuck to his guns and cut spending in many areas of government in order to bring down the huge deficit he inherited in 2010. He endured deep unpopularity until the economy picked up in 2013.

Osborne originally intended to have eliminated the deficit by now but has only managed to halve it. At nearly 5 percent of economic output in the last financial year, he says it still poses a real threat to Britain’s economic security.

“If our country doesn’t bring the deficit down, the deficit could bring our country down again,” he said earlier this month.

Osborne wants to cut government departmental spending to under 17 percent of economic output by the end of the decade, its lowest share since at least 1999, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, a non-partisan think tank.

As in the first five years of his austerity push, he plans to protect Britain’s health service, schools and foreign aid from cuts, and he plans to boost defence spending.

That means the cuts to be announced on Wednesday will be all the deeper for other, unprotected, areas such as policing.

Reuters

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.