USD/CAD – Loonie rallies hard on Nafta hopes

The CAD (C$1.2975) dollar has rallied aggressively this morning against the USD. It’s been pushed higher on Nafta optimism, but on the crosses there is little change (EUR/CAD €1.5129, GBP/CAD £1.6719).

President Trump is to make a trade announcement at 11 am EDT.

The ‘proof will be in the pudding,’ but ahead of the announcement U.S markets have rallied from the session’s outset on news of a potential NAFTA deal reached between the U.S and Mexico.

Material and automotive names are trading higher on the day amid the boost in risk-on sentiment, though gold ($1,206) and oil are roughly flat ($68.71).

U.S Treasury yields (10’s 2.815%) are up modestly with the curve shifting higher. USD/MXN – Mexico peso is +0.6% higher at $18.6711.

It’s believed that the Mexican President has spoken to PM Trudeau and has encouraged him to re-join Nafta talks to seek a trilateral accord this week.

Update:

  • US and Mexico reach trade deal to replace NAFTA
  • To see +40-45% of auto content made by workers earning avg. base wage of $16/hr
  • Would boost U.S and regional content in autos to +75% (prior +62.5%)
  • Canada Fin Min Freeland expected in DC shortly for talks; discussions with Canada to accelerate Monday and wrap up by end of the week.

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