USD/CAD – Shutdown deal boost Canadian dollar to 2-week high

USD/CAD is showing little movement in the Monday session. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.3234, up 0.10% on the day. On the release front, there are no Canadian or U.S. events on the schedule, so we can expect a quiet day from the pair. On Tuesday, the U.S. releases CB Consumer Confidence, which is expected to drop to 125.0 points.

The Canadian dollar received an unexpected boost on Friday, courtesy of Donald Trump. The U.S. president signed a bill which provided funds for the U.S. government to operate for three weeks. The breakthrough has raised hopes that an agreement can be reached to end the shutdown, which has lasted over a month. Risk sentiment jumped on the news of a deal, and the Canadian dollar surged over 1.0% on Friday, hitting a 2-week high.

At the same time, last week’s soft Canadian data is a cause for concern. Manufacturing Sales declined by 1.4% in November, its sharpest decline in over a year. Consumer spending also sagged in November. Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales both recorded declines, with readings of -0.9% and -0.3%, respectively. The economy will receive a report card on Thursday, with the release of the monthly GDP report. This key event should be treated as a market-mover.

Brexit, trade war, Fed and US jobs this week

Euro firmer on US dollar slippage, ratings

Be prepared, it’s an action-packed week in capital markets

USD/CAD Fundamentals

Monday (January 28)

• There are no releases in the U.S. or Canada

Tuesday (January 29)

• 10:00 US CB Consumer Confidence. Estimate 125.0

*All release times are EST

*Key events are in bold

USD/CAD for Monday, January 28, 2019

USD/CAD, January 28 at 7:45 EST

Open: 1.3218 High: 1.3234 Low: 1.3204 Close: 1.3234

USD/CAD Technical

USD/CAD ticked lower in the Asian session but has recovered in European trade

• 1.3200 is providing support
• 1.3290 is the next resistance line
• Current range: 1.3200 to 1.3290

Further levels in both directions:

• Below: 1.3200, 1.3125 and 1.3049
• Above: 1.3290, 1.3383, 1.3445 and 1.3552

Content is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.