Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Canadian dollar drifting, ISM Manufacturing PMI next
Canada's GDP surprises to the upside US PCE Price Index eases in June ISM Manufacturing PMI expected to contract The Canadian dollar is trading at 1.3259, up 0.07%. Canadian markets are closed for a holiday and I expect USD/CAD movement to be limited.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD pares losses ahead of RBA rate decision
Money markets split on RBA decision on Tuesday US PCE Price Index eases in May The Australian dollar is showing some movement right off the bat on Monday. AUD/USD fell as much as 70 pips in the Asian session but has recovered most of those losses.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD climbs as key US inflation gauge ticks lower
US Core PCE Price Index ticks lower Eurozone headline CPI eases but core CPI rises German headline and core inflation accelerate EUR/USD is trading at 1.0898 in the North American session, up 0.32%. Eurozone inflation falls but core rate rises Inflation in the eurozone continues to fall. Eurozone CPI is expected to fall to 5.5% in June, down from 6.1% in May and a notch below the consensus of 5.6%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Eurozone inflation data brings some relief for the ECB but tightening cycle likely not over
European stocks are ending the week on a high, buoyed by another encouraging inflation report that will soon support the end of the ECBs tightening cycle. Not only did the headline HICP rate fall further than expected, but the slight rebound at the core level - driven largely by unfavourable base effects, largely attributed to German transport subsidies last year - was lower than expected.
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD flat ahead of Canadian GDP
Canada release GDP on Friday US publishes Core PCE Price Index, UoM Consumer Sentiment on Friday The Canadian dollar is flat on Friday, trading at 1.3258 in the European session. Will Canada's GDP shake up the Canadian dollar? Canada releases GDP for May later on Friday. The consensus stands at 0.2% m/m, which translates into 2.4% annualized, a respectable gain.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen flirts with 145, Core CPI ticks upwards
Japanese yen briefly falls below 145 line Tokyo Core CPI rises to 3.2% US GDP revised higher,  unemployment claims slide USD/JPY is showing limited movement, trading at 144.62 in the European session. The yen briefly fell below the symbolic 145 line earlier today. Tokyo Core CPI inches higher Tokyo Core CPI, a key inflation gauge, moved slightly higher in June.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bullish US stocks and bearish JPY at risk of pain trade in H2
Significant up move in G-20 2-year sovereign bond yields except for Japan & China. US 2-year Treasury yield may eye the next immediate resistance at 5.20%. Higher cost of funding in H2 may deflate current optimism in US stocks. Japan’s finance officials have ratcheted up verbal intervention to talk down USD/JPY strength. Welcome to June month-end, Q2 2023-end, and H1 2023-end where three different periods of closing coincide at the same time which tends to lead to higher volatility in certain a
by Kelvin Wong
Oil prices recovering, gold falls below $1900 on strong US data
Oil continues to consolidate amid an uncertain economic outlook Oil prices are continuing to recover on Thursday after falling back toward their range lows on Wednesday. The gradual consolidation that we're seeing in crude doesn't appear to be nearing an end, with the price simply fluctuating between the range highs and lows over the last couple of months. The uncertainty around inflation, interest rates, and therefore the economy may well be behind that as investors have frequently been caught
by Craig Erlam
Euro unchanged ahead of German CPI
Lagarde signals ECB rate hike in July Germany releases inflation report later on Thursday Eurozone inflation report follows on Friday EUR/USD is unchanged on Thursday and is trading at 1.0912 in the European session. German CPI  Germany releases the June inflation report later today. Inflation in the eurozone's largest economy fell to 6.1% in May, down sharply from 7.2% in April.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen falls below 144, Ueda and Powell talk policy
Ueda, Powell participating in panel at ECB Bank Forum Japanese yen slips below 144 US consumer confidence surges higher USD/JPY continues to push higher and is closing in on the 145 line. In the North American session, the yen is trading at 144.60, up 0.37%. Will Ueda provide any clues at ECB Bank Forum? It's a quiet day on the data calendar, with no important US releases.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD - Will Lagarde shake up the euro?
German consumer sentiment falls ECB's Lagarde will participate in a panel discussion on policy EUR/USD has edged lower on Wednesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0939, up 0.20%. German consumer confidence dips The German GfK Consumer Sentiment report found that consumer confidence is expected to fall in July to -25.4, down from a downwardly revised -24.4 in June.
by Kenneth Fisher
All eyes on the ECB forum as central bank heads join panel discussion
Equity markets are cautiously higher in Europe while the US is poised to open relatively flat as we await appearances from the heads of the Fed, ECB, BoE and BoJ. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, ECB President Christine Lagarde, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, and BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda are due to take part in a panel discussion at the ECB Forum on Central Banking around the opening bell in the US and their comments could set the tone for the rest of the day.
by Craig Erlam
AUD/JPY Technical: Minor downtrend remains intact
Recent two weeks of price actions in AUD/JPY have evolved into a minor downtrend. Key resistance on the minor downtrend stands at 96.00. Near-term supports are at 94.80 and 94.00. This is a follow-up on our earlier analysis, “AUD/JPY Technical: At the risk of a minor pull-back” dated 19 June 2023. Click here for a recap. The AUD/JPY has dropped as expected and almost hit the 94.80 support (printed a current intraday low of 95.15 in today’s Asia session). Today’s fall in the AUD/JPY has been r
by Kelvin Wong
Aussie slides to 3-week low as CPI falls sharply
Australian inflation declines more than expected AUD/USD slides in response to the inflation report US Consumer Confidence jumps The Australian dollar is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6636, down 0.75%.
by Kenneth Fisher
China’s booster from Premier Li Qiang may not last
China’s Premier Li Qiang’s morale booster speech during yesterday’s opening of the World Economic Forum’s 14th Annual Meeting of the New Champions ignited a bullish tone in China’s stock market. USD/CHH (offshore yuan) retreated from 7.2500 key intermediate resistance after PBoC’s indirect FX intervention yesterday. USD/CNH may strengthen further which may trigger another round of downside pressure in China-related equities. China’s Premier Li Qiang, also the Head of the State Council that dire
by Kelvin Wong
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