'A week ahead' - Upcoming economic and political events shaping the markets

Brent Crude Update - Oil Prices Rally as EIA Reduces Oil Surplus Estimates

Brent crude prices are rising due to lower-than-expected U.S. oil and fuel supplies and revised EIA forecasts for smaller oil surpluses in 2025 and 2026. Libya has restarted oil production at the Mabruk field, aiming to increase output significantly, while Kuwait also plans to boost its production. OPEC expects strong global oil demand growth in 2025, despite potential trade policy impacts. Most Read: Dow Jones (DJIA), S&P 500 Under Pressure as Record Cash Levels Suggest More Downside Ahead Bre

Mar 12 by Zain Vawda

Weekly Market Outlook: Trigger Uncertainty, Nasdaq in Correction & US CPI Data Ahead

Markets experienced turmoil this week, driven by investor concerns over the Trump administration's tariff policies. The US dollar is on track for its worst week in over a year, Nasdaq entered a correction. The Bank of Canada may cut rates due to tariff impacts and economic concerns. US CPI is also due in the week ahead, will it rescue the ailing US Dollar? Read More: Bitcoin’s (BTC/USD) Wild Ride – Open Interest, ETF Flows Amid Trump’s Crypto Remarks Week in Review: Fear is Rising but US Labor

Mar 07 by Zain Vawda

Brent Oil Price Analysis: Six-Month Lows Amid OPEC Output, Tariffs & Russia-Ukraine Negotiations

Brent crude oil prices have fallen to a six-month low due to OPEC+'s decision to increase output. The US has announced the end of Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, an OPEC member. Market participants are also concerned about potential easing of sanctions on Russia, which could increase oil supply. Delayed talks to restart oil exports from Iraq’s Kurdistan region, which also could lead to increased supply are also a concern. Most Read: Brent Crude Oil Price Update – 100-day MA Keep

Mar 04 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Tariffs, NFP and ECB Meeting on the Agenda

Tariffs have been the primary driver of market volatility. US economic data shows signs of a potential stall, with consumer spending down and inflation remaining high. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are struggling, and the Fear and Greed index is in fear territory. Next week's focus includes potential US tariffs, China's Two Sessions meeting, and the ECB's interest rate decision.

Feb 28 by Zain Vawda

Brent Crude Oil Price Update - 100-day MA Keeps Oil Under Pressure

Brent crude oil prices are under pressure due to new US sanctions on Iran, potential increases in Iraqi oil exports from Kurdistan. US Consumer confidence recorded its worst print in 3 years weighing on market sentiment. Technical analysis shows the 100-day moving average is acting as significant resistance around the 75.32 level for Brent crude oil.

Feb 25 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - US PCE, Japanese Inflation & Tariffs in Focus

US equity markets experienced a slight downturn due to concerns about inflation impacting consumer spending, highlighted by Walmart's cautious outlook. The upcoming US PCE data is crucial as the Fed's preferred inflation measure. Japanese inflation data will also be key this week as markets eye the Bank of Japans next move.

Feb 21 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Inflation Fears Rise with Tariffs Ahead of US CPI Release

Inflation expectations are rising, driven by tariff concerns and impacting consumer sentiment. US job growth was lower than expected, adding to market concerns. Key events for the week ahead include the US CPI release and testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Feb 07 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Fed to Extend Pause as Trump Era Begins

US equities markets rose due to President Trump's pro-business policies and decision to not impose tariffs on major trading partners yet. The Bank of Japan raised rates to 0.5%, the highest since 2008. The week ahead sees markets shift attention toward Central Bank policy with the ECB and Fed meeting in focus.

Jan 24 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Trump 2.0 Takes Flight as BoJ Decision Looms

It was a strong week for US stocks and gold, with the S&P rising about 3% by the end of the week. Markets are bracing for potential volatility and policy surprises as Donald Trump is inaugurated as US President.

Jan 17 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Fed Policy in Focus as US Inflation Lies Ahead

Strong US Jobs Report Impacts Fed Expectations with some analysts now predicting no cuts at all. The S&P 500 experienced a sell-off, breaking below key support levels and raising concerns about further potential downside. US inflation and retail sales data will be crucial in shaping market expectations for future monetary policy. In addition to US data, the week ahead includes key economic releases from China, UK and Australia.

Jan 10 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - US Jobs Data in Focus as King Dollar Eyes Further Gains

The US dollar started 2025 strong, reaching a two-year high, while US equities were disappointing due to a lackluster Santa Rally. Global equity funds saw an 86% drop in inflows compared to the previous week, attributed to rising bond yields and potential portfolio rebalancing. The week ahead focuses on the US NFP jobs report and its potential impact on USD dominance. Australia's CPI, retail sales, and trade balance data will provide insights into its economy.

Jan 03 by Zain Vawda

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Markets Weekly Outlook - PMI Data and Increased Liquidity to Drive Markets

US equities experience volatility amid tech and growth stock fluctuations, ending the Santa Rally week with marginal gains. Japanese Yen strengthens due to expected Bank of Japan policy changes, while US Dollar continues its advance. Key data releases next week include Chinese PMI data and US manufacturing PMI, with market focus on potential economic recovery signs in China and continued US resilience.

Dec 27, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500 in Focus as Markets Brace for Holiday Lull

The Federal Reserve's policy change and economic projections have significantly impacted markets, leading to a rise in US yields. The US PCE data released on Friday rose less than expected, alleviating some selling pressure on US equities. The Bank of Japan held rates steady, defying expectations of a rate cut, while the risk of a U.S. government shutdown increased. The upcoming week is expected to have thin liquidity and range-bound trade due to the Christmas holiday and a bank holiday in the U

Dec 20, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Will Fed Rate Cut and BoJ Decision Spur Volatility?

Markets had a volatile week, with US 100 (Nasdaq 100) reaching new highs and a strong likelihood of a Fed rate cut next week. Major central bank meetings dominate the week ahead. The BoJ faces a tough decision on whether to raise interest rates, with recent data supporting a hike. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is at a crucial resistance level, and its performance may be influenced by the Fed's interest rate decision and outlook.

Dec 13, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Central Bank Focus as US Inflation Looms

US Jobs report all but confirms a December rate cut, with markets pricing in an 80% probability. Nasdaq nears 22,000 as US equities continue their strong performance, with the S&P 500 also hitting record highs. Global markets await US CPI and ECB decisions, with expectations of a 25 bps rate cut from the ECB. Focus for the week ahead includes US CPI, ECB decision, and Chinese inflation data. Read More: EUR/USD: Additional accommodative monetary policy guidance from the ECB may be forthcoming We

Dec 06, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - US Dollar's Fate Hinges on NFP as Fed Rate Cut Looms

US equities finished strong, driven by tech and retail stocks, with the S&P 500 reaching record highs. The US dollar weakened due to increased expectations of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The upcoming week's focus is on US jobs data, which could impact the Fed's decision and the US dollar's performance.

Nov 29, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - PMI Data, UK Inflation and the Soft Landing Conundrum

US Dollar Index rally continues and the impact of a strong US dollar on global markets. Examining upcoming PMI data from the Euro Area and UK CPI figures, and their potential market implications. Assessing the likelihood of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Providing insights on market trends and potential volatility in the coming week.

Nov 15, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Attention Shifts Back to Data, US CPI in Focus

Trump's clean sweep saw a significant rise in the US Dollar and Yields. Can it continue? Data in focus next week, US CPI data is due with potential implications for Federal Reserve policy and interest rate decisions. US Dollar Index (DXY) breaks above key level of 105.00.

Nov 08, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - US Elections and Central Banks Lead the Way

Global markets experienced a mixed week, influenced by geopolitical risks and US jobs data revisions. The week ahead focuses on China's Standing Committee meeting, the US election and Central Bank Meetings. Wall Street indexes struggled, potentially due to high valuations and AI capital spend. Read More: GBP/USD Technical: Trendline Break Sets the Stage for Further Downside Week in Review: US Jobs Revised Downward After Positive GDP A mixed week comes to a close as markets deal with renewed geo

Nov 01, 2024 by Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - ECB to Deliver 25 bps Rate Cut? Bank Earnings in Focus

Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut decreased following mixed US data signals. The European Central Bank's interest rate decision is a key event, with a 25 bps cut highly anticipated. The week ahead features CPI releases from several countries, including China and New Zealand, while US earnings season gathers pace with major banks reporting. Can the S&P 500 rally continue? Technical breakdown provided.

Oct 11, 2024 by Zain Vawda

A Week Ahead