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Markets weekly outlook - 'Liberation day' tariffs and potential impact

This week's market outlook focuses on the impact of Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs and rising stagflation fears. Gold prices surge, the US Dollar faces uncertainty, and oil prices fluctuate. Key events include tariff announcements, US jobs data, and central bank decisions. Get insights into potential market movements and key levels to watch in the coming week.

Mar 28 by Zain Vawda

GameStop & Bitcoin (BTC/USD): corporate adoption grows, following strategy's lead

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) faces renewed volatility amid potential US tariffs. On-chain data shows waning demand as short-term holders sell. GameStop adopts Bitcoin for its treasury, following Strategy. Technical analysis reveals key support levels at 82133, 80000, and 78197, and resistance at 88000, 90000, and 91804. ETF flows and corporate adoption trends are also examined.

Mar 28 by Zain Vawda

Tokyo inflation rises, keeping BOJ on track for rate hike

Tokyo inflation accelerated in February, with Tokyo Core CPI rising to 2.4%, up from 2.2% which was also the market estimate. The strong inflation report supports another rate hike from the Bank of Japan, which could come as early as May.

Mar 28 by Kenneth Fisher

Brent Oil Market Update: Tariffs, Supply Concerns, and Price Analysis

Brent Crude rose above key levels but faces significant challenges ahead. Market participants are focused on factors like US tariffs, supply concerns in the Permian Basin, and potential US-Iran tensions affecting oil prices. Technical analysis suggests possible pullback after recent breakout.

Mar 27 by Zain Vawda

Japanese yen flirts with 151 line, Tokyo Core CPI next

Japan releases a key inflation indicator, Tokyo Core CPI on Friday, with a market estimate of 2.2% for February. This would be unchanged from the previous release. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda said on Wednesday that if rising food prices persist, the BoJ would have to raise interest rates. US GDP ticked higher to 2.4% in the fourth quarter, up from 2.3% in the previous estimate.

Mar 27 by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/JPY Forecast: Triangle Breakout Signals Potential Bullish Rally to 2007 Highs

GBP/JPY shows a potential bullish rally after a triangle breakout. Despite mixed economic data, price action suggests a significant move toward 222.00, last seen in 2007. Technical analysis highlights key support & resistance levels. Key levels for potential pullback opportunities also analyzed.

Mar 27 by Zain Vawda

US GDP Ticks Higher, British Pound eyes UK Retail Sales

US GDP crept higher to 2.4% in the third estimate, up from 2.3% in the previous two estimates. The UK releases GDP on Friday, with the markets braced for a weak 0.1% m/m gain in February. The UK will release retail sales on Friday, with a market estimate of -0.3% m/m for February, following a 1.7% gain in January.

Mar 27 by Kenneth Fisher

Australia's CPI drops unexpectedly, Aussie shrugs

Australia's inflation rate surprised with a slight decline in February. CPI eased to 2.4% y/y from 2.5% a month earlier. This was the lowest inflation rate since Nov. 2024 and supports the case for a rate cut in May.

Mar 26 by Kenneth Fisher

UK Inflation Cools More Than Expected, Pound Loses Ground

UK inflation eased to 2.8% in February, below the January gain of 3.0% and the market estimate of 2.9%. Still, the Bank of England remains concerned about the upside risk to inflation - services inflation remains sticky and was unchanged at 5% in January. The drop in inflation is good news for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who delivered the Spring Statement earlier today.

Mar 26 by Kenneth Fisher

Gold Price Forecast: Will Tariffs and ETF Demand Drive XAU/USD Higher?

Gold prices face resistance despite tariff threats. ETF flows surge to 2022 highs, indicating strong demand. Technical analysis shows Gold is rangebound with key support and resistance levels.

Mar 26 by Zain Vawda

Australian dollar extends gains, Australian inflation next

Australia's inflation report for Febraury is expected to remain unchanged at 2.5% y/y, above the Reserve Bank's 2% target. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice this year but Atlanta Fed President Bostic said he favored just one rate cut due to the uncertainty over inflation.

Mar 25 by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD Forecast: Will Tariffs or Data Drive the Pair?

EUR/USD faces volatility amid tariff uncertainty and mixed US data. German data offers optimism. Technical analysis points to potential bullish breakout with key resistance at 1.0500, 1.0600, and 1.0700 and support at 1.0425, 1.0350, and 1.0293. Upcoming US Core PCE report is crucial.

Mar 25 by Zain Vawda

Dow Jones (DJIA) Advances, US Consumer Confidence Slides

Dow Jones rises despite recession fears and declining US consumer confidence. Article analyzes key support and resistance levels for the DJIA and discusses the potential impact of trade policy and economic data.

Mar 25 by Zain Vawda

Japanese yen recovers after hawkish Bank of Japan minutes

The yen has bounced back today after declining almost 1% a day earlier. The BoJ minutes from the January meeting were on the hawkish side, as most members favored further rate hikes if growth and inflation evolved as the Bank expected. BOJ Core inflation remained at 2.2%, in line with expectations and its highest level in 11 months.

Mar 25 by Kenneth Fisher

Navigating the US Dollar (DXY): Tariffs, Data, and Technicals

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hit a 3-week high on positive US business activity data and hopes for less severe tariffs. Services PMI drove growth while manufacturing contracted. Market focus turns to PCE data and tariff developments due April 2nd, which could significantly impact the Dollar.

Mar 24 by Zain Vawda

Japan's core CPI higher than expected, yen weakens to 150

Japan's core inflation fell to 3% in February but this was above the market estimate of 2.9%. Headline inflation fell to 3.7% from 4%, lower than the market estimate of 4.2%. The Bank of Japan is expected to continue raising rates, most likely in June or July. In the US, New York Fed President Williams said that monetary policy was in the right spot, given the risk of higher inflation and lower growth.

Mar 24 by Kenneth Fisher

Markets Weekly Outlook - US Dollar, Inflation & PMI Data Analysis

The weekly outlook analyzes recent market struggles, noting investor concerns over US trade policies and inflation. We preview key economic data releases, including PMI and inflation figures from the US, Europe, UK, and Asia Pacific. Lastly, we look at the US Dollar's recent rally and provide technical analysis of the DXY, along with important support and resistance levels to watch.

Mar 21 by Zain Vawda

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Trump Impact, Whale Activity & Price Predictions

Bitcoin's price dipped despite Trump's crypto event. New whales are buying, but on-chain data shows weakening demand. ETF flows slowed, and technical analysis indicates a bearish trend. Key support and resistance levels are outlined.

Mar 21 by Zain Vawda

Brent Oil Price Update: Crude Reacts to Iran Sanctions & Potential US Tariffs

Brent Oil prices are volatile due to US fuel supply drops, Iran sanctions, and potential tariffs. Chevron's Venezuela license extension is debated, impacting supply. Technical analysis shows Brent trading in a tight range, with the RSI suggesting possible momentum shifts.

Mar 20 by Zain Vawda

BoE Meeting Preview: Will Rates Hold at 4.50%? Key Insights & FTSE 100 Outlook

The Bank of England is expected to hold rates at 4.50% in March 2025. This preview analyzes the factors influencing the decision, including sticky inflation and labor market data. It also looks at potential market reactions, particularly for the GBP and FTSE 100, and provides technical analysis for the FTSE 100.

Mar 19 by Zain Vawda

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