All Articles

Markets weekly outlook - FOMC minutes, tariff developments and inflation ahead

US tariff proposals send markets tumbling as China announced retaliatory tariffs on Friday which saw J.P. Morgan's increase their recession odds. Markets are concerned about a global recession heading into next week after Fed Chair Powell delivered cautious remarks. The week ahead focuses on upcoming tariff developments, US inflation data, and the RBNZ interest rate meeting, plus key levels for the Nasdaq 100.

Apr 4 by Zain Vawda

Yen pummels US dollar, nonfarm payrolls next

After the massive selloff on Wall Street on Thursday, investors are focusing on US nonfarm payrolls, which is expected to ease to 135 thousand from 151 thousand. Japan's household spending rebounded in February with a 3.5% gain, after a 4.5% decline in January.

Apr 4 by Kenneth Fisher

Markets eye US, Canada job reports, US dollar steadies

Overshadowed by the massive selling wave on US stock markets, the US and Canada release employment data later today. Canada's employment is expected to improve slightly, while US nonfarm payrolls are projected to dip to 135 thousand, down from 151 thousand.

Apr 4 by Kenneth Fisher

Swiss CPI stays at four-year low, Swiss franc soars after Trump tariffs hit Switzerland

US President Trump delivered a bombshell on Wednesday, announcing wide-ranging tariffs. Trump announced 10% tariffs on all imports to the US as well as reciprocal tariffs on a host of countries. The US dollar fell sharply against the major currencies and the Swiss franc soared by 2.5%. Swiss inflation was lower than expected and US ISM Services declined to 50.8, down from 53.5.

Apr 3 by Kenneth Fisher

Australian dollar rally continues, Trump tariffs loom

The Reserve Bank of Australia held the cash rate at 4.10%, in a move that was widely expected by markets. Still, the Australian dollar reacted positively, gaining 0.48% on Tuesday.

Apr 2 by Kenneth Fisher

Japan's Business Sentiment Mixed, Yen Strengthens

Japan's Tankan indices were mixed, with manufacturers' sentiment falling while non-manufacturing sentiment accelerated. All eyes are on US President Trump who has promised to announce wide-ranging tariffs on April 2.

Apr 1 by Kenneth Fisher

Euro Zone Inflation Drops to 4-month low, DAX index Rises as rate cut bets intensify

Eurozone inflation drops to a 4-month low, fueling ECB rate cut expectations. The DAX index faces technical challenges amid potential US tariffs. Uncertainty surrounds the inflation outlook due to trade tensions, impacting market sentiment and future monetary policy decisions ahead of the April ECB meeting.

Apr 1 by Zain Vawda

German CPI Falls Below Expectations, Euro Steady

German inflation was lower than expected in March, as both headline and core CPI decelerated. This supports the case for the European Central Bank to lower rates at its April meeting. Global markets have taken a tumble as jitters over US President Trump's threat to impose wide-ranging tariffs later this week.

Mar 31 by Kenneth Fisher

Gold (XAU/USD)price analysis: Gold Surges but have "liberation day" tariffs been priced in?

Gold (XAU/USD) hits new highs as markets brace for widespread tariffs. Will this be a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario? Explore the potential for a selloff, rising recession fears, and key technical levels including support at 3100 and resistance at 3125.

Mar 31 by Zain Vawda

ImportExport_Cases_Import_Export_Tariffs

Markets weekly outlook - 'Liberation day' tariffs and potential impact

This week's market outlook focuses on the impact of Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs and rising stagflation fears. Gold prices surge, the US Dollar faces uncertainty, and oil prices fluctuate. Key events include tariff announcements, US jobs data, and central bank decisions. Get insights into potential market movements and key levels to watch in the coming week.

Mar 28 by Zain Vawda

GameStop & Bitcoin (BTC/USD): corporate adoption grows, following strategy's lead

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) faces renewed volatility amid potential US tariffs. On-chain data shows waning demand as short-term holders sell. GameStop adopts Bitcoin for its treasury, following Strategy. Technical analysis reveals key support levels at 82133, 80000, and 78197, and resistance at 88000, 90000, and 91804. ETF flows and corporate adoption trends are also examined.

Mar 28 by Zain Vawda

Tokyo inflation rises, keeping BOJ on track for rate hike

Tokyo inflation accelerated in February, with Tokyo Core CPI rising to 2.4%, up from 2.2% which was also the market estimate. The strong inflation report supports another rate hike from the Bank of Japan, which could come as early as May.

Mar 28 by Kenneth Fisher

Brent Oil Market Update: Tariffs, Supply Concerns, and Price Analysis

Brent Crude rose above key levels but faces significant challenges ahead. Market participants are focused on factors like US tariffs, supply concerns in the Permian Basin, and potential US-Iran tensions affecting oil prices. Technical analysis suggests possible pullback after recent breakout.

Mar 27 by Zain Vawda

Japanese yen flirts with 151 line, Tokyo Core CPI next

Japan releases a key inflation indicator, Tokyo Core CPI on Friday, with a market estimate of 2.2% for February. This would be unchanged from the previous release. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda said on Wednesday that if rising food prices persist, the BoJ would have to raise interest rates. US GDP ticked higher to 2.4% in the fourth quarter, up from 2.3% in the previous estimate.

Mar 27 by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/JPY Forecast: Triangle Breakout Signals Potential Bullish Rally to 2007 Highs

GBP/JPY shows a potential bullish rally after a triangle breakout. Despite mixed economic data, price action suggests a significant move toward 222.00, last seen in 2007. Technical analysis highlights key support & resistance levels. Key levels for potential pullback opportunities also analyzed.

Mar 27 by Zain Vawda

US GDP Ticks Higher, British Pound eyes UK Retail Sales

US GDP crept higher to 2.4% in the third estimate, up from 2.3% in the previous two estimates. The UK releases GDP on Friday, with the markets braced for a weak 0.1% m/m gain in February. The UK will release retail sales on Friday, with a market estimate of -0.3% m/m for February, following a 1.7% gain in January.

Mar 27 by Kenneth Fisher

Australia's CPI drops unexpectedly, Aussie shrugs

Australia's inflation rate surprised with a slight decline in February. CPI eased to 2.4% y/y from 2.5% a month earlier. This was the lowest inflation rate since Nov. 2024 and supports the case for a rate cut in May.

Mar 26 by Kenneth Fisher

UK Inflation Cools More Than Expected, Pound Loses Ground

UK inflation eased to 2.8% in February, below the January gain of 3.0% and the market estimate of 2.9%. Still, the Bank of England remains concerned about the upside risk to inflation - services inflation remains sticky and was unchanged at 5% in January. The drop in inflation is good news for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who delivered the Spring Statement earlier today.

Mar 26 by Kenneth Fisher

Gold Price Forecast: Will Tariffs and ETF Demand Drive XAU/USD Higher?

Gold prices face resistance despite tariff threats. ETF flows surge to 2022 highs, indicating strong demand. Technical analysis shows Gold is rangebound with key support and resistance levels.

Mar 26 by Zain Vawda

Australian dollar extends gains, Australian inflation next

Australia's inflation report for Febraury is expected to remain unchanged at 2.5% y/y, above the Reserve Bank's 2% target. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice this year but Atlanta Fed President Bostic said he favored just one rate cut due to the uncertainty over inflation.

Mar 25 by Kenneth Fisher

All news & analysis