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Markets Weekly Outlook - US Dollar, Inflation & PMI Data Analysis

The weekly outlook analyzes recent market struggles, noting investor concerns over US trade policies and inflation. We preview key economic data releases, including PMI and inflation figures from the US, Europe, UK, and Asia Pacific. Lastly, we look at the US Dollar's recent rally and provide technical analysis of the DXY, along with important support and resistance levels to watch.

Mar 21 by Zain Vawda

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Trump Impact, Whale Activity & Price Predictions

Bitcoin's price dipped despite Trump's crypto event. New whales are buying, but on-chain data shows weakening demand. ETF flows slowed, and technical analysis indicates a bearish trend. Key support and resistance levels are outlined.

Mar 21 by Zain Vawda

Brent Oil Price Update: Crude Reacts to Iran Sanctions & Potential US Tariffs

Brent Oil prices are volatile due to US fuel supply drops, Iran sanctions, and potential tariffs. Chevron's Venezuela license extension is debated, impacting supply. Technical analysis shows Brent trading in a tight range, with the RSI suggesting possible momentum shifts.

Mar 20 by Zain Vawda

BoE Meeting Preview: Will Rates Hold at 4.50%? Key Insights & FTSE 100 Outlook

The Bank of England is expected to hold rates at 4.50% in March 2025. This preview analyzes the factors influencing the decision, including sticky inflation and labor market data. It also looks at potential market reactions, particularly for the GBP and FTSE 100, and provides technical analysis for the FTSE 100.

Mar 19 by Zain Vawda

Market Update: Dow Jones (DJIA), S&P 500 React to Fed Rate Decision

Wall Street indexes rose after the Fed kept rates steady, hinting at future cuts. The Dow Jones moved above 42000, with Industrials, Financials, and Tech leading gains. Key support and resistance levels are noted for the Dow Jones.

Mar 19 by Zain Vawda

Bank of Japan maintains rate, yen hits 150

The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.50% at today's meeting, as expected. The Bank said that inflation was moving higher but expressed concern about US trade policy. The yen continues to lose ground and hit 150 earlier. The Federal Reserve meets later today and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates.

Mar 19 by Kenneth Fisher

FOMC & Market Impact: Inflation, Rates, and the US Dollar

Preview of the March 19, 2025, FOMC meeting. Explore the Fed's expected decisions on interest rates amid mixed economic signals. Analysis of inflation, labor market, and consumer sentiment. Key focus on Powell's press conference and US Dollar Index technical outlook.

Mar 18 by Zain Vawda

Bank of Japan expected to maintain rate on global growth worries, yen close to 150 line

The Bank of Japan meets on Wednesday and is widely expected to hold rates, after a hike in January. With wages and inflation moving higher, the BoJ is expected to continue raising rates later in the year. In the US, retail sales gained 0.2% as consumers are concerned about the economic outlook and are worried about the escalating trade war triggered by US tariffs.

Mar 18 by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/USD Analysis: Testing 1.3000 Resistance Amid Central Bank Uncertainty. Will Cable Break 1.3000?

GBP/USD hits a four-month high near 1.3000 amid US Dollar weakness. Central bank meetings (Fed & BoE) this week could bring consolidation. Key support levels: 1.2864, 1.2797, 1.2654. Resistance levels: 1.3140, 1.3210, 1.3250. Watch for a daily close above 1.3000 for bullish continuation.

Mar 18 by Zain Vawda

Canada's CPI expected to rise

Canada releases CPI for February, which is expected to accelerate to 2.1% from 1.9%. Inflation has remained around the Bank of Canada's 2% target but the trade dispute with the US could boost inflation. US retail sales posted a weak gain of 0.2% after a 1.2% decline in January.

Mar 18 by Kenneth Fisher

Gold Price Outlook: ETF Flows, Central Bank Buying, and XAU/USD Price Targets

Gold tests $3000 as ETF inflows and central bank buying surge. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty drive demand. Technical analysis eyes key support and resistance levels for XAU/USD's next move. Will it break and hold above $3000?

Mar 17 by Zain Vawda

New Zealand Dollar Soars on Strong Chinese data

The New Zealand dollar received a strong boost from better-than-expected Chinese data. New Zealand's Services PMI fell back into contraction territory

Mar 17 by Kenneth Fisher

Weekly Market Outlook: Central Banks, US Rates, and Trade War Impact

This week's market outlook analyzes key central bank decisions, with the Fed and BoE in focus. We also examine US equity fund flows, inflation data, and trade war impacts. Discover support and resistance levels for the S&P 500 and insights into FX and oil markets. Stay informed with our weekly financial market review.

Mar 14 by Zain Vawda

New Zealand dollar climbs as manufacturing improves

The New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Friday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.5722 in the European session, up 0.46% on the day. NZ Manufacturing PMI rises to near-three year high New Zealand's manufacturing sector improved in February, as Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.9, up from 52.5 in January. This was the highest level since August 2022. All sub-index values recorded increases, including production, new orders and employment. The Manufacturing PMI has now recorded expansi

Mar 14 by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/USD shrugs as UK GDP unexpectedly declines

The British pound has edged lower against the US dollar on Friday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2928 in the European session, down 0.13% on the day. UK economy declines 0.1% in January The UK economy barely registered any growth in the second half of 2024, rising 0.1% in the third quarter and flatlining in the third quarter. The New Year hasn't seen any improvement, as GDP contracted 0.1% m/m in January, after a 0.4% gain in December and missing the market estimate of 0.1%.

Mar 14 by Kenneth Fisher

Canadian dollar rises as BoC trims rates

The Canadian dollar is steady on Thursday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4379, up 0.06% on the day. Bank of Canada lowers rates to 2.75% There was no surprise from the Bank of Canada, which lowered rates by a quarter-point, bringing the cash rate to 2.75% and giving a boost to the Canadian dollar. The BoC has lowered rates at seven consecutive meetings and has chopped 225 basis points since last June. Behind the modest quarter-point cut, there is growing alarm at the Bank o

Mar 13 by Kenneth Fisher

US CPI softens, Oil prices rise, BoC lowers rates

Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. https://open.spotify.com/episode/4I0v08ryEcuZ4SbNNSByQR?si=227846461d374d98

Mar 13 by Kenneth Fisher

Brent Crude Update - Oil Prices Rally as EIA Reduces Oil Surplus Estimates

Brent crude prices are rising due to lower-than-expected U.S. oil and fuel supplies and revised EIA forecasts for smaller oil surpluses in 2025 and 2026. Libya has restarted oil production at the Mabruk field, aiming to increase output significantly, while Kuwait also plans to boost its production. OPEC expects strong global oil demand growth in 2025, despite potential trade policy impacts. Most Read: Dow Jones (DJIA), S&P 500 Under Pressure as Record Cash Levels Suggest More Downside Ahead Bre

Mar 12 by Zain Vawda

US dollar climbs against yen on soft US CPI report

The Japanese yen has lost ground against the dollar for a second straight day. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.39, up 0.43% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY rose as much as 0.96% but pared much of those gains. US inflation lower than expected US inflation surprised on the upside in February. Headline inflation eased to 0.2% m/m from 0.5% and below the market estimate of 0.3%. Annually, headline inflation dropped to 2.8% from 3% and below the market estimate of 2.9%. It w

Mar 12 by Kenneth Fisher

Canadian dollar calm ahead of BoC, US inflation

The Canadian dollar posted gains earlier but couldn't consolidate. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4439, up 0.03% on the day. Bank of Canada likely to cut by 25 bps It's decision day at the Bank of Canada, which is widely expected to lower rates by 25 basis points. This would lower the cash rate to 2.75%, its lowest level since July 2022. The BoC has been aggressive and has lowered rates at six straight meetings, chopping 200 basis points during that time. The economy remains

Mar 12 by Kenneth Fisher

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