Oil slips, CPI could make or break gold

Oil slips after retracing back to previous trend lows

Oil prices are slipping on Wednesday after partially recovering over the last four days. Crude ran into resistance around the bottom of the December-March range lows which suggests, for now at least, traders are not of the view that OPEC+ output cuts fully offset the difficulties that lie ahead for the global economy which will ultimately weigh on demand.

Further action by the cartel or calmer conditions in US banks could see oil prices bounce back once more but for now, we may have entered into a period of uncertainty ahead of the OPEC+ meeting in June. At which point the group could opt to prop up the market once more, especially if prices remain under pressure.

Make or break release for gold?

Gold is treading water ahead of the CPI data, a release that could be the catalyst for new record highs in the yellow metal or a broader correction. It’s already struggled around those previous highs and a hot inflation number today could put an end to hopes of new records in the near term. Of course, there’s still some way to go before it reaches key support around $1,970 but a break of this could signal a deeper correction.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.